Sean t rcp twitter

“What an apolitical redraw does is add some responsiveness to maps. In great D years they can draw to parity in PA, and in the map my class drew they might end up 6-9 or 7-8 in Ohio. A solid gerrymander might prevent those outcomes. 6/”.

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJun 4, 2022 · “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.” https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1545114625141837826 If you look at what Reagan was elected to do: defeat the Soviet Union/reignite American exceptionalism, lower taxes, slow the pace of social change, defeat inflation, etc., it was all accomplished by 1992.

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Log in. Sign upSean T at RCP. Follow @SeanTrende. Nov 8 • 8 tweets • 2 min read Bookmark . Save as PDF . My Authors My basic view of this election hasn't changed over the cycle; it's the same frame I carry into every election: they are referenda on the party in power, not choices. 1/“@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”Jun 15, 2022 · “I mean, Cameron County 50-50 with half the vote counted? Obama beat Romney here by 30 points. He won Willacy County by 40 (which is also tied right now). I mean later votes will probably shift things but the fact that this is even close in a congressional race . . .”

VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats.https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1545114625141837826 If you look at what Reagan was elected to do: defeat the Soviet Union/reignite American exceptionalism, lower taxes, slow the pace of social change, defeat inflation, etc., it was all accomplished by 1992.Good @ThePlumLineGS post on fixing the Electoral Count Act, something that should have bipartisan support. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/30/how ... “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.”Nov 6, 2018 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.

Jun 2, 2022 · “Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it would make more sense than what came out.” In this conversation. Verified account ….

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Senior elections analyst for RCP, Sean Trende, likewise said that the claim was “untrue” on Twitter. While The Associated Press and cable news networks have projected Biden as the winner, RCP has not called the 2020 presidential race for either candidate at the time of publication. RCP lists Biden as having 259 electoral votes and …Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at least …

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- …

swaot analysis “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”13 Şub 2013 ... ... T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act to clarify that houses of worship are eligible for certain disaster relief and ... randb oil and gas attica ksku cyber security bootcamp cost “But in a wave year, these will come into varying degrees of play. So if the generic ballot starts to reach R+6 or so (which is probably about right if Biden stays in the low 40s) you're suddenly in a scenario where about 30 seats suddenly come into play. 5/”“@jibberegg @Nate_Cohn @ZachWeiner The version I came across didn't have the attribution, but I am happy to have it attached (by my replying, this should bump the comment up to the top of the comment chain). Thanks!” the hydrologic water cycle In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @ wooden award votingedward teach evonychris jans wife Nov 8, 2018 · “I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/” publix pharmacy shoppes at new tampa 08 Sep 2022 18:37:23“@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.” where can you buy tom oar productsregan sieperdakaitlyn moore In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”